This is what the latest polls look like ahead of tomorrow’s Midterms – live

What are the US midterm elections and when are they due?

With Election Day looming in this year’s midterms, polls are showing that the contest to control the US Senate is down to the wire, while Republicans are placed to retake the House of Representatives. According to polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight and lead forecaster Nate Silver, the Senate contest in particular remains much where it was at the start of the year, with numerous swing-state races on a knife-edge.

Early vote numbers, meanwhile, are surging and have just passed the total reached in the 2018 midterm cycle, particularly in Georgia, where Democrats hope the more than 2 million votes already cast will favour them.

In the last few days, Joe Biden has campaigned in Albuquerque, San Diego, and Joliet, Illinois, before joining former President Barack Obama in Philadelphia to get out the vote for PennsylvaniaSenate candidate John Fetterman. Mr Obama and Mr Fetterman held an event in Pittsburgh earlier on Saturday and Bernie Sanders also campaigned in the state.

Former president Donald Trump, meanwhile, was in Pennsylvania on Sunday before heading to Florida, where he and Governor Ron DeSantis held separate rallies, adding further fuel to speculation of a rivalry between the two.


Zeldin supporter choked at Hochul rally

The New York gubernatorial election is getting ugly in the final hours of the race and now a supporter of Republican Lee Zeldin has been attacked after she crashed a rally held by Kathy Hochul, the Democratic incumbent.

Video of the incident was first posted on Twitter by an independent journalist. In the video, a group of people are seen arguing and physically fighting as a speaker is heard addressing the Hochul rally; a group of Mr Zeldin’s supporters are apparently trying to push their way into the crowd. Two people, a man and a woman, are seen restraining a third woman who is briefly grabbed by the neck by the larger man and then released.

Shortly after, the restrained woman breaks away and gives the woman restraining her moments ago a hard shove.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 20:00


Obama and Biden team up on selfie video

The much-discussed Obama-Biden “bromance” continues – or so it seems – on the campaign trail, with the former running mates now dropping a self-shot video urging supporters to get out and vote:

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 19:30


Analysis: Summer Lee tries to flip the script on crime

On the road in Pennsylvania, Eric Garcia has this dispatch from a progressive Democrat’s attempt to push back on the GOP’s relentless crime messaging:

Summer Lee is part of a progressive wing of the party. That wing took the brunt of internecine criticism after Democrats shed large parts of their majority in 2020, despite winning the White House. It was a setback that many in the party’s centrist wing blamed on left-wing rhetoric about defunding the police.

And even aside from crime, the fight for the 12th is just another front in the feud within the Democratic Party. Ultimately, the race is a test of whether a progressive can win at a time when progressive power within the party is diminished.

Read the full analysis below.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 19:00


Colorado official wearing body armour because of election threats

A Colorado election official believes that the threats of violence that have bubbled up in the weeks leading up to the midterms has given him no other choice but to don a bulletproof vest.

“I wear one pretty much every single day,” said Josh Zygielbaum, the County Clerk and Recorder in Adams County, Colorado, in an interview with Terry Moran which aired on ABC News on Sunday night.

Following former President Donald Trump’s unsubstantiated claims that widespread voter fraud cost him his re-election in 2020, there has been a wave of threats launched against election workers, which later prompted the Justice Department to set up a task force in the summer of 2021.

Johanna Chisholm has more.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 18:30


Donald Trump Jr continues Fetterman attacks

The eldest son of former president Donald Trump on Sunday accused the Pennsylvania lieutenant governor who is currently running for Senate as a Democrat of having no detectable brain activity during warm-up remarks at one of his father’s signature political rallies.

Speaking to a crowd of supporters at a Miami, Florida, rally in support of Senator Marco Rubio, Donald Trump Jr suggested Pennsylvania Senate candidate John Fetterman is not up to the job on account of a stroke he suffered in May.

He accused Democrats of wanting to “release violent offenders” from prisons, and cited the example of Mr Fetterman, who the younger Mr Trump called “the brain dead potential senator from Pennsylvania”. He added that Mr Fetterman has “mush for brains” as well.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 18:00


Putin ally boasts of Russian election interference

A key Vladimir Putin ally had admitted that Russia is interfering in US elections and said that they “will continue to interfere”.

On Monday, Russian businessman Yevgeny Prigozhin said he had interfered in American elections and that he woudl carry on doing so.

It’s the first admission from someone blamed by the US for attempting to influence US politics.

“We have interfered (in US elections), we are interfering, and we will continue to interfere. Carefully, accurately, surgically and in our own way, as we know how to do,” Mr Prigozhin said, according to comments posted by the press department of his catering company Concord.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 17:30


Analysis: The Trump-backed Republican who could end up running New York

Republican Long Island Congressman Lee Zeldin, who’s now running to unseat Democratic New York governor Kathy Hochul, was among the first elected GOP officials supporting Mr Trump’s presidential bid, more than a year before he won the 2016 election. He voted against both of Mr Trump’s impeachments and tried to block the creation of a congressional committee to investigate the Capitol attack.

Hours after the mob breached the halls of Congress on 6 January 2021, Mr Zeldin joined 146 other House Republicans to challenge the outcome. He posted a clip of his speech on the House floor on 6 January with the title “in defense of the Republic.” That night, he streamed himself from inside the Capitol to appear on The Ingraham Angle on Fox News, telling host Laura Ingraham that the violent riots are “bigger than the president” and “bigger than 2020”.

And now, with his race looking far more competitive than expected, he could be on the brink of running one of the US’s largest states.

Alex Woodward looks at the state of play.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 17:00


Elon Musk endorses Republicans in congressional elections

As if he wasn’t already causing a public meltdown by firing half his company’s staff (only to be forced to invite some of them back), newly minted Twitter owner Elon Musk has called on voters to back the Republican Party in congressional elections because “shared power curbs the worst excesses of both parties”.

This is not going down well with his critics on the platform he now controls.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 16:30


House predictions: RealClearPolitics weighs in

As the FiveThirtyEight forecast for the midterms gets its de rigeur pre-election day traffic, another major polling aggregator is out with its own forecast. RealClearPolitics, whose political coverage has an overall rightward bent, is predicting that the Republicans will have a majority of at least 9 in the House of Representatives. It rates 34 seats as toss-ups, but even if all of those were to fall to the Democrats in its model, the GOP would still be in charge in the lower chamber.

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 16:00


Catch up: What to know about the midterms

If you’re just tuning into our coverage of the midterm elections, here’s a good way to catch up: Gustaf Kilander’s explainer on the ins and outs of election day, complete with an overview of the issues driving the polls:

Andrew Naughtie7 November 2022 15:30

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