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Local elections 2022: Lib Dems make gains as Partygate hits Tories and Labour admits ‘mixed picture’– live updates

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Jessica Murray

Jessica Murray

Our Midlands reporter Jessica Murray has this final dispatch from the count in the key council of Dudley where Labour failed to oust the Tories.

Although the Tories retained overall control of the council, Labour made some progress in Dudley tonight, taking three seats from the Conservatives.

The Tories managed to take one seat from Labour, scraping the win by seven votes, and took another two seats from independent candidates.

The West Midlands bellwether council had been a key target for Labour, after the Conservatives gained overall control last year, but they failed to make a significant dent in the Tory majority.

Nevertheless, Dudley Labour leader, Qadar Zada, said he was “really pleased” with the results.

“It’s absolutely going in the right direction. We set out 12 months ago on a listening campaign to talk to as many residents as possible, and that’s what has got us here tonight, we have gained three seats,” he said. “I think people are annoyed about central government, and they feel neglected locally. Of course people are annoyed about the Downing Street parties as well.”

Another disappointed Conservative has blamed Partygate and the failings of Boris Johnson’s leadership for the party’s poor showing in local elections.

Following similar remarks from Tory leaders in Cumberland and Worcester, the leader of Portsmouth council Simon Bosher said the leadership in Westminster needed to “take a good, long hard look in the mirror” to find out why he had lost four seats tonight.

“There is a degree of anger and a degree of frsutration,” at the situation in Westminster, he said.

Taking control of Hull council from Labour has been the stand-out prize on a very good night for the Lib Dems, who have also won seats from the Conservatives in the south.

Liberal Democrat peer Baroness Kramer said she was “obviously delighted” her party had taken control of Hull council, where the party had haboured “high hopes” of victory and the Tories lost their only remianing seat.

“It is a community that in a sense has been taken for granted frankly by both Labour and Conservatives,” she told Sky News.

LOCAL ELECTIONS: 7/19 – first big move of the night – LIB DEM GAIN from Labour as Holly Burton wins University ward.
Result:
BARRICK (CON): 108
BURTON (LIB DEM): 882
HOWARTH (GREEN): 64
LUNN (LAB): 604 pic.twitter.com/9uhqDmLaFw

— The Hull Story 🇺🇦 (@StoryHull) May 6, 2022

She said that “big significant local issues” like the number of GPs locally came up on the doorstep, as well as the cost of living and Partygate.

“It is not just partygate, it is everything it stands for, this sort of whole sense of a Government in moral collapse,” Lady Kramer said.

After results from 31 councils, the Tories had a net loss of 3 seats, Labour had a net gain of 13 seats, the Lib Dems had put on 21 seats and gained one authority while the Greens had gained seven seats.

More analysis on the results so far from Will Jennings, a professor of politics at the University of Southampton.

He points out that comparing results from the around 150 wards where there is data from the 2016 Brexit vote, Conservatives are doing better in Leave voting areas and Labour better in Remain voting areas.

He also points out that the Conservatives appear to be performing poorly in areas where there are fewer university graduates.

With results in for nearly 150 wards where we have data on the Brexit vote in 2016, there is evidence that the Conservatives are faring better in Leave voting areas and Labour better in Remain voting areas. @SkyNews pic.twitter.com/Ou66HOXDEb

— Will Jennings (@drjennings) May 6, 2022

Based on @SkyNews analyses of results from 200 wards so far, it is clear that the Conservatives are performing poorly in areas where there are more university graduates and doing better in areas where there are fewer. pic.twitter.com/N0mETpEbvw

— Will Jennings (@drjennings) May 6, 2022

Local Tory leader blames Cumberland collapse on Boris Johnson

Archie Bland

Archie Bland

After the Conservatives saw an unexpected collapse in support in the new council of Cumberland, losing 14 seats while Labour gained 12 and took overall control, local Tory leader John Mallinson has laid the blame squarely at the feet of the prime minister – questioning his honesty and suggesting he should be replaced.

Voters’ motivations were “mostly national,” he told the BBC.

It was difficult to drag the debate back to local issues… partygate was a big thing. And the cost of living crisis. It wasn’t helping getting comments from [environment secretary] George Eustice talking about people using value brands to ease their shopping bills.”

He said Eustice’s remarks were viewed as “very patronising”. Mallinson said he had encountered:

A lot of animosity towards the prime minister … it’s partygate, but it’s not just partygate: there’s the integrity issue, I just don’t feel people any longer have the confidence that their prime minister can be relied upon to tell the truth.

He added: “I can see their point of view.”

Asked if Conservative MPs should remove Boris Johnson, he said: “That would be my preference, yes.”

Latest election results from the BBC, showing Labour has lost two councillors overall while the Conservatives have lost 46. The Lib Dems are up 25 while the Greens are up 16.

Labour are on track to take control of Southampton from the Conservatives, according to polling expert John Curtice, who has calculated a seven percentage point swing to Labour after a third of wards reported results.

He told the BBC:

This is one of the few councils that the Tories appear to be at serious risk of losing.

Here are some photographs from some of the counts across the country:

London mayor Sadiq Khan and Labou MP Rosena Allin-Khan react to Labour wins in Wandsworth on Friday morning.
London mayor Sadiq Khan and Labour MP Rosena Allin-Khan react to wins in Wandsworth on Friday morning. Photograph: Hannah McKay/Reuters
It has been a good night for the Liberal Democrats across England.
It has been a good night for the Liberal Democrats across England. Photograph: Hannah McKay/Reuters
Ballot boxes arrive for the count in Peterbourgh.
Ballot boxes arrive for the count in Peterbourgh. Photograph: Paul Marriott/PA
Conservative party supporters face a disappointing night in Wandsworth.
Conservative party supporters face a disappointing night in Wandsworth. Photograph: Hannah McKay/Reuters
Ballot papers being counted in Sunderland, which was held by Labour.
Ballot papers being counted in Sunderland, which was held by Labour. Photograph: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images

Another update from Barnet, where Labour are hoping to gain control from the Tories, who have run the council since 2002. Prior to that the council had either been held by the Conservatives or under no overall control since its creation in the 1960s.

Sounding negative about his party’s chances of retaining control, the Conservative leader of the council Daniel Thomas has told the BBC he’s “disappointed but proud of our track record over the last 20 years”.

If Labour are making gains … this is multiple factors and a perfect storm of 12 years of Conservative national government and 20 years of a Conservative council, and cost of living.

He also blamed the rise in National Insurance last month.

Labour has won a convincing majority on the newly created council of Cumberland “surpassing all expectations” for the party and giving the Conservatives a “devastating night”, BBC correspondent Robert Cooper reports.

As ITV’s Tom Sheldrick points out, all three local MPs are Conservatives.

This is the final make-up of the new council. Surpassing all expectations for Labour. The Conservatives were notionally defending 21 of these seats based on previous county council elections #LocalElections pic.twitter.com/MX9CDjktqS

— Robert Cooper (@BBCRobertCooper) May 6, 2022

Labour has achieved a majority on the new Cumberland Council. A huge result for them and devastating night for the Conservatives here. The Greens will be very happy getting two councillors and the Lib Dems have increased their representation in the Cumberland area #LocalElections

— Robert Cooper (@BBCRobertCooper) May 6, 2022

BREAKING: Labour will have a majority on the new Cumberland Council

This is a remarkable result – all 3 MPs in the area are Conservatives (Carlisle, Copeland, Workington)

2 seats still to be declared pic.twitter.com/0CN05dMFRN

— Tom Sheldrick (@TomSheldrickITV) May 6, 2022

Jessica Murray

Jessica Murray

The Conservatives have failed to take control of the council in parliamentary bellwether Peterborough, a seat Labour will be looking to target at the next general election, reports the Guardian’s Midlands correspondent Jessica Murray.

The Tories needed to gain just two seats to secure a majority on the council, which will remain under no overall control with the Conservatives still the largest party.

In the North ward a 30.7-point swing towards Labour saw them take 72% of the vote and gain the seat from the Tories, but the Conservatives also took a ward from Labour.

Conservative council leader Wayne Fitzgerald said it was a “great result” for the party.

“We remain on 28 seats as Labour and the Liberal Democrats fail to make gains despite the challenging national picture,” he said.

North (Peterborough) election result:

Labour GAIN from Conservative.

Lab: 72.4% (+30.7)
Con: 27.6% (-16.9)

No LDem (-4.2), Grn (-4.7) and UKIP (-4.8) as prev.

More:https://t.co/jlefq2hxg5

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 6, 2022

London mayor Saddiq Khan has arrived at the count in Wandsworth, where Labour have so far won some key wards and there have been some big smiles in the Labour camp – and long faces on the Conservative side.

A quick reminder: if Labour take control it will be first time since 1974. The Tory majority shrank to six in 2018, its smallest since 1982.

London mayor Sadiq Khan with Labour party supporters at Wandsworth town hall.
London mayor Sadiq Khan with Labour party supporters at Wandsworth town hall. Photograph: Hannah McKay/Reuters

And some more analysis from polling expert John Curtice, who has told the BBC that while the Lib Dems may be stealing headlines and Labour’s progress has been “limited”, it is “the Conservatives have lost considerable ground since 12 months ago”.

With well over 150 key wards now declared, the Conservatives are down by 3 percentage points on their performance the last time these areas were contested in 2018, Labour is down 1 point, and the Liberal Democrats are up 4 points.

If we compare the results with last year, then Labour is up 4 points, the Tories are down 6 points, and the Liberal Democrats are up 3 points.

So while the Liberal Democrats have so far stolen some of the headlines and Labour’s advance has been limited, it’s still the case that the Conservatives have lost considerable ground since 12 months ago.

Rowena Mason

Rowena Mason

Update on London from the Guardian’s deputy political editor Rowena Mason:

The London councils are yet to declare but a Labour source says Wandsworth and Barnet are “looking good”.

Wandsworth would be a particularly totemic win for Labour because it is a flagship low council tax local authority for the Tories and it has been in the party’s hands since 1978.

This would extend Labour’s dominance in almost everywhere in the capital but the outer suburbs. There is a chance Labour could even take Westminster as well – although that’s looking less certain.

Our team on ground at Wandsworth has been told by Senior Labour source at the count that Labour is calling it as a win for them – Tooting MP @DrRosena on air now

— Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) May 6, 2022

A bit more analysis from Manchester University politics professor Rob Ford, who says that as yet it’s hard to interpret what the results so far mean for Labour and the Conservatives.

“So far it looks like a messy ‘choose your own adventure’ set of results for Con vs Lab,” he tweets.

On the other hand, he points out, it’s been a great night so far for the Lib Dems and the Greens.

So far it looks like a messy “choose your own adventure” set of results for Con vs Lab.
OTOH, much simpler story for LDs- they’re having a great night, particularly vs Cons. And Greens are also having a strong night

— Rob Ford 💙💛 (@robfordmancs) May 6, 2022

Predictably Con spox are focussing on LAb seat losses since 2018, Lab spox focussing on vote share gains since 2019.
Both have a point: Lab are up on their 2019 & 2021 low ebbs,but in many places down on 2018, when Lab did OK overall and much better in red wall than it has since

— Rob Ford 💙💛 (@robfordmancs) May 6, 2022

James Johnson, a Downing Street pollster under Theresa May, has been challenging political commentary tonight that suggests Labour has failed to win back the “red wall”.

In a Twitter thread he wrote:

Change in these elections is on 2018. In 2018, Labour *had* the Red Wall nationally. Labour standing still or even going back slightly in Red Wall areas in these elections *is* progress for Labour.

Where Labour is struggling and going back further – just as they were in 2018 – is in areas like Amber Valley and Nuneaton. We are not seeing by any stretch of the imagination a seismic recovery for Labour. But much of ‘Red Wall’ commentary is wrong tonight.

Key point: lots are erroneously saying Labour is not ‘winning back’ the Red Wall.

Change in these elections is on 2018. In 2018, Labour *had* the Red Wall nationally. Labour standing still or even going back slightly in Red Wall areas in these elections *is* progress for Labour.

— James Johnson (@jamesjohnson252) May 6, 2022



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