2022 Cure Bowl prediction, odds, line: UTSA vs. Troy picks, best bets from proven computer model

Teams looking to close out their seasons on a high note clash when the 22nd-ranked UTSA Roadrunners battle the 23rd-ranked Troy Trojans in the 2022 Cure Bowl in Orlando, Fla., on Friday afternoon. The Roadrunners (11-2, 8-0), who won Conference USA, have won 10 games in a row and are making their third consecutive bowl appearance. UTSA is seeking its first bowl win in four tries and a victory against a ranked opponent. The Trojans (11-2, 7-1), who won the Sun Belt Conference championship, have also won 10 in a row.

Kickoff from Exploria Stadium is set for 3 p.m. ET. This will be the first-ever meeting between the schools. The Trojans are 1.5-point favorites in the latest UTSA vs. Troy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 55.5. Before locking in any Troy vs. UTSA picks or Cure Bowl predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UTSA vs. Troy and just locked in its Cure Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting trends for Troy vs. UTSA:

• UTSA vs. Troy spread: Troy -1.5
• UTSA vs. Troy over/under: 55.5 points
• UTSA vs. Troy money line: UTSA +105, Troy -125
• UTSA: The Roadrunners are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall
• TROY: The Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a winning record
• UTSA vs. Troy picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Troy Trojans vs. UTSA Roadrunners

Why Troy can cover

The Trojans are led by junior quarterback Gunnar Watson, who completes 61.9% of his passes. He connected on 193 of 312 attempts for 2,705 yards and 13 touchdowns with 10 interceptions for a rating of 142 this season. He has also rushed for a pair of scores. In the Sun Belt Conference title game win over Coastal Carolina, Watson completed 12 of 17 passes (70.6%) for 318 yards and three touchdowns. It was his fourth 300-plus passing game of the year.

Sophomore running back Kimani Vidal leads the Troy ground attack. He has rushed 209 times for 1,059 yards (5.1 average) and nine touchdowns. His seven career 100-yard games are tied for the eighth-most in school history. He also has 24 receptions for 133 yards (5.5 average), including a long of 18 yards this season.

Why UTSA can cover

Despite that, the Trojans are not a lock to cover the UTSA vs. Troy spread. That’s because the Roadrunners are led by dual-threat senior quarterback Frank Harris. Harris has completed 305 of 429 passes (71.1%) for 3,865 yards and 31 touchdowns with just seven interceptions and a rating of 167.4. He has also rushed 120 times for 588 yards (4.9 average) and nine scores. In the Conference USA title game win over North Texas, Harris completed 32 of 37 passes (86.5%) for 341 yards and four touchdowns. He also rushed 16 times for 49 yards (3.1 average) and one touchdown.

Freshman running back Kevorian Barnes has also made a big splash. He has carried 114 times for a team-high 713 yards (6.3 average) and six touchdowns in 2022. Against North Texas, Barnes ran wild, carrying 28 times for 175 yards (6.3 average) and one touchdown. It was his fourth 100-plus-yard performance of the season.

How to make UTSA vs. Troy picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 48 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Troy vs. UTSA? And which side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.