76ers vs. Timberwolves prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, March 7 best bets from proven model

The Philadelphia 76ers visit the Minnesota Timberwolves for a high-profile NBA matchup on Tuesday. Philadelphia is 42-22 overall and on the second night of a back-to-back, though the 76ers are 6-3 with no rest this season. Minnesota is 34-32 overall, 20-14 at home, and on a three-game winning streak. Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) remains out for Minnesota, while James Harden (foot), Tobias Harris (calf) and P.J. Tucker (back) are all questionable for the Sixers.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Minnesota as a 2.5-point favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 228 in the latest 76ers vs. Timberwolves odds. Before making any Timberwolves vs. 76ers picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 61-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. T’Wolves and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for T’Wolves vs. Sixers:

• 76ers vs. Timberwolves spread: Timberwolves -2.5
• 76ers vs. Timberwolves over/under: 228 points
• 76ers vs. Timberwolves money line: 76ers +118, Timberwolves -140
• PHI: The 76ers are 5-3-1 against the spread with no rest
• MINN: The Wolves are 17-17 against the spread in home games
• 76ers vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Why the 76ers can cover

Philadelphia’s defense projects well in this matchup, with the 76ers ranking in the top third of the NBA in allowing 1.12 points per possession. The 76ers give up fewer than 24 assists per game while creating almost 15 turnovers per game, and Minnesota commits a turnover on 15.4% of offensive possessions. The Wolves struggle on the offensive glass, securing only 25.8% of missed shots and Philadelphia is in the top 10 of the NBA in points allowed in the paint. 

On offense, the 76ers have plenty of star power and shot creation, leading to 1.16 points per possession. Philadelphia is a top-five team in shooting efficiency, including the best free throw accuracy mark in the NBA, and the 76ers are nails from 3-point range with a top-three mark this season. The 76ers create more than 25 free throw attempts per game and, with fewer than 14 giveaways per game, the possession battle could lean to Philadelphia.

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Minnesota is playing extremely well in recent days, winning the last three games. In that three-game sample, the Wolves are holding opponents to 111.6 points per 100 possessions, and Minnesota is a top-10 team in the league in defensive efficiency this season. On offense, the Wolves have a 61.5% true shooting mark during the winning streak, and Minnesota is shooting 49.2% from the field and 57.5% from 2-point range this season.

Minnesota is led by a dynamic perimeter creator in Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 24.6 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Edwards increases that production to 26.7 PPG on 39.5% shooting on 3-pointers over the last 19 games, and the Wolves also have advantages on offense in this matchup. Philadelphia allows the third-most fast break points, and Minnesota is scoring 15.1 fast break points per game. Minnesota is also in the top 10 in assists (25.5 per game) and points in the paint (54.2 per game) in 2022-23.

How to make Timberwolves vs. 76ers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 233 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins 76ers vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.