Warriors vs. Thunder odds, line: 2023 NBA picks, Feb. 6 predictions from proven computer model

The Golden State Warriors (27-26) will try to build on their win over Dallas when they face the Oklahoma City Thunder (25-27) on Monday night. Golden State is in eighth place in the Western Conference standings, sitting a half-game back of Minnesota and Dallas. Oklahoma City is coming off one of its best performances of the season, cruising to a 153-121 win against Houston on Saturday. 

Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET. Golden State is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Warriors vs. Thunder odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 234. Before entering any Thunder vs. Warriors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Thunder. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Warriors:

• Warriors vs. Thunder spread: Warriors -3.5
• Warriors vs. Thunder over/under: 234 points
• Warriors vs. Thunder money line: Golden State -170, Oklahoma City +143
• Warriors vs. Thunder picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State is going to be without star guard Steph Curry (leg) on Monday night, but it was able to put together a winning record during Curry’s 11-game absence earlier this season. The Warriors are coming off a 119-113 win against Dallas on Saturday, as power forward Draymond Green scored 17 points, grabbed nine rebounds and had nine assists. JaMychal Green (14), Donte DiVincenzo (13) and Jonathan Kuminga (13) each scored in double figures off the bench. 

The Warriors already picked up a win over Oklahoma City in the last week, beating the Thunder in a 128-120 final last Monday. They had four starters score in double figures in that game, including Klay Thompson’s 28 points on 10 of 21 shooting. Golden State has won seven straight games in this series, covering the spread at a 7-1-1 clip in the last nine meetings between these teams. 

Why the Thunder can cover

Golden State is going to miss Curry on Monday, as he led the team with 38 points on 12 of 20 shooting against Oklahoma City last week. He also grabbed eight rebounds and dished out 12 assists in that game. Curry had 21 points against Dallas on Saturday, helping the Warriors take a 98-78 lead, but they were outscored 35-21 in the final 14 minutes without their leader on the court. 

Oklahoma City is coming off a dominant performance, blowing out Houston by scoring 153 points in a 32-point win. Star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 42 points, reaching the 30-point mark for the sixth time in his last seven games. The Thunder have been one of the best teams to back in recent weeks, covering the spread in 11 of their last 14 contests. 

How to make Warriors vs. Thunder picks

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Thunder? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Thunder vs. Warriors spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.